The 30-year mortgage average climbed for a third day Friday, after dramatically sliding lower during the first part of last week. The latest increase has the flagship average again flirting with the 6% threshold.
Today’s National Mortgage Rate Averages
Rates on 30-year mortgages added a third daily climb Friday, edging up four basis points to build a 41-point increase since Tuesday. Though the average had tumbled almost a half percentage point early last week, the latest upward march has brought rates back near the 6% mark, averaging 5.94%. Still, rates are notably below where they reached four weeks ago, when they notched a 14-year peak of 6.38%.
Rates on 15-year loans moved more dramatically higher Friday, jumping 19 basis points to average 5.08%. Like 30-year loans, 15-year rates reached their highest level since 2008 in mid-June, when they touched 5.41%.
Jumbo 30-year rates were also on the rise. After holding steady for much of last week, the Jumbo 30-year average gained an eighth of a percentage point Friday to reach 5.07%. That marks a return to 5% territory after sitting below that threshold since early June.
After a major rate dip last summer, mortgage rates have since skyrocketed, with the 30-year average peaking in mid-June by an eye-popping 3.49 percentage points above its August 2021 low of 2.89%.
Meanwhile, mid-June saw the 15-year and Jumbo 30-year averages shoot 3.21 and 2.38 percentage points higher, respectively, than their summer 2021 valleys.
Rates on refinancing loans moved mostly similarly Friday, with the 30-year refi average adding a modest three basis points while the 15-year and Jumbo 30-year refi averages climbed a bold 12 points. The cost to refinance with a fixed-rate loan is currently eight to 34 points more expensive than a new purchase loan.
The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive. They may involve paying points in advance, or may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan given the value of the home.
Calculate monthly payments for different loan scenarios with our Mortgage Calculator.
Lowest Mortgage Rates by State
The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan term, and size, as well as individual lenders’ varying risk management strategies.
These rates are surveyed directly from over 200 top lenders.
What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?
Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as the level and direction of the bond market, including 10-year Treasury yields; the Federal Reserve’s current monetary policy, especially as it relates to funding government-backed mortgages; and competition between lenders and across loan types. Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it’s generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.
Macroeconomic factors have kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of this year. In particular, the Federal Reserve has been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic’s economic pressures, and continues to do so. This bond-buying policy (and not the more publicized federal funds rate) is a major influencer on mortgage rates.
On May 4, the Fed announced that it will begin reducing its balance sheet on June 1. Identical sizable reductions will occur in June, July, and August, and then be doubled beginning in September. This will be on top of its existing move to reduce new bond purchases by an increment every month, the so-called taper, which began in November.
The Fed’s rate and policy committee, called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), meets every 6-8 weeks. Their next scheduled meeting takes place July 26-27.
The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country’s top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700-760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.
For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700-760.